notes from pittsburgh containing opinions
dissecting the Fetterman-Oz flip in an information market
Fetterman led in the race for election to the U.S. Senate for a long time. Then, Oz overtook Fetterman. How did the Predictit information market track this flip?
empathy: a letter to my friends
A moral compass is needed to weigh into controversial and complex ethical issues.
information markets: alternatives to survey methods for estimating candidate preferences of the electorate
Information markets that operate like commodities future markets are cost-conscious alternatives to using survey methods for identifying beliefs, opinions, and voting expectations held by the electorate about candidates for public office.
ostrich epistemology
*Learning* involves *thinking*; its whetstone is *reasoning*; it requires intellectual *humility*, not arrogance. Learning, thinking, reasoning, and humility currently are in short supply, I assert, in this brief essay.
death to honor and remember
Why have a Memorial Day?
a bunch of sun flung at the earth?
Serious scientists can barely stir a yawn from the public, legislators, and polkicy-makers when in discussions about preparations for and consequences of severe solar events...published in 2009
reading Moby-Dick
Advice for any young person required to read Moby-Dick...written in 2006
leave it at the stream
A lesson about staying in the present from Marshall Goldsmith...written in 2006