notes from pittsburgh about research & analytical methods
dissecting the Fetterman-Oz flip in an information market
Fetterman led in the race for election to the U.S. Senate for a long time. Then, Oz overtook Fetterman. How did the Predictit information market track this flip?
empathy: a letter to my friends
A moral compass is needed to weigh into controversial and complex ethical issues.
information markets: alternatives to survey methods for estimating candidate preferences of the electorate
Information markets that operate like commodities future markets are cost-conscious alternatives to using survey methods for identifying beliefs, opinions, and voting expectations held by the electorate about candidates for public office.
understanding input-output modeling for assessing potential economic impact
Maybe this dry, geeky essay won't shock your soul, but it describes input-output models, their assumptions, & their uses for estimating economic impact of grand public investments.
ostrich epistemology
*Learning* involves *thinking*; its whetstone is *reasoning*; it requires intellectual *humility*, not arrogance. Learning, thinking, reasoning, and humility currently are in short supply, I assert, in this brief essay.
different numbers in, different numbers out
A comparison of the validity of two contrasting studies of the potential economic impact of Marcellus Shale natural gas extraction ...published in 2011
